By Noah Solowiejczyk and Rebecca Matsumura (October 24, 2025, 5:02 p.m. EDT) — The day before the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize winner was officially announced on October 10, the odds that Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado would win jumped on decentralized prediction platform Polymarket, powered by unusually prescient exchanges from certain users. The Nobel Institute later confirmed that it was investigating whether confidential information regarding the announcement had been leaked in advance….
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